PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x695944D2DFe3a8FD2487f63B95D4d16974241659-1770304776960

0x695944d2dfe3a8fd2487f63b95d4d16974241659

Realised P&L
$46.58
Volume
$16.4k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$0.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on October 10? · Yes0.5000.007$0.18−$12.56
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 10? · Yes0.5000.001$0.01−$12.79
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00−$27.50
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 11 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$23.50
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 5? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$13.51
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$9.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 15:23Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 4°C or below on September 30?BUY0.998$7.35
08-31 15:33Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on September 1?BUY0.992$5.73
07-06 08:50Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on July 7?BUY0.985$5.90
07-05 02:51Spread: Mexico (-3.5)BUY0.991$8.65
06-24 01:56Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?BUY0.97$11.64
06-20 02:03Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 22?BUY0.9700606061$19.21
06-11 01:21Spread: Curaçao (-2.5)BUY0.998$9.98
06-02 01:19Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on June 3?BUY0.98203$13.75
05-29 01:08Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 30?BUY0.994$11.13
05-25 00:39Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?BUY0.9$9.61
05-19 10:53Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.975$7.60
05-15 01:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?BUY0.93$12.09
05-08 00:48S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 8?BUY0.996$10.43
04-20 11:00Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5BUY0.92$26.55
02-16 05:30Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.952$1.0k