nkvddk
0x694546ffd815a9131d0f0d3b9b5391b6879e998c
- Realised P&L
- $-193.97
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $46.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.015 | $29.00 | −$51.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.017 | $17.00 | −$43.00 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.97 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 15:37 | Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 03-20 18:02 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $80.00 |
| 03-20 17:57 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $20.00 |
| 03-20 17:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 17:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 17:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 17:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0052331317 | $10.00 |