morenoo
0x693f3ebd81d0d199c77dcf584d01dd85c0f227b3
- Realised P&L
- $-257.11
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $29.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $29.71 | −$2.28 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.82 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.14at 0.416Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:05 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? | BUY | 0.007 | $32.00 |
| 10-25 23:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0169999999 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 23:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0611392733 | $35.12 |
| 10-25 22:09 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999997 | $247.00 |
| 04-12 17:31 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.12 | $56.55 |
| 07-22 16:08 | Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.021 | $20.82 |
| 06-02 05:35 | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | SELL | 0.997 | $60.30 |
| 05-31 08:38 | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BUY | 0.4159999919 | $25.16 |