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Traders

Meursault14

0x69381d3802c506ea22d782f22c511b5bb20d7185

Realised P&L
$-568.47
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$24.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1810.175$9.67−$0.33
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · No0.8600.938$5.45+$0.45
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0250.025$4.90−$0.10
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.018$1.25−$0.75
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.075$1.07−$3.93
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6400.625$0.98−$0.02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.029$0.76−$4.24
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.023$0.72−$1.78
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00−$1.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? · Yes0.6910.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$5.00
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.5020.000$0.00−$26.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 21:52Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1809541029$10.00
09-25 13:542026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.64$1.00
07-13 20:54Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5699999059$2.00
07-01 19:12Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.8699999913$3.00
07-01 10:42Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.46$8.41
07-01 10:41Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3279998321$1.00
06-13 12:55Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0489999908$5.00
05-22 21:08US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
05-18 12:04Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY0.055999983$3.00
05-18 12:03Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY0.2699999637$3.50
05-16 21:14Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5599999462$10.00
05-13 09:34Starmer out by May 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999489$3.00
05-13 09:34Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.0608387496$2.00
05-12 08:57Starmer out by May 15, 2026?SELL0.871$20.49
05-12 08:52Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.8499999787$20.00