OnlyPhan
0x6936431c93a525f454d1bb914c107f926c86a45e
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $174.9k
- Markets traded
- 876
- Open portfolio
- $119.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded876
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jynxzi reach Gold rank in League of Legends by October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.850 | $119.85 | −$1.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.166Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?
- +$3.0kat 0.146Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- +$1.4kat 0.177Will MrBeast's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 5?
- +$1.2kat 0.014Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?
- +$903.36at 0.143Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:30 | Will Lennar say "Technology" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-16 15:53 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.5 and 37.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-16 15:53 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-16 15:53 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-15 20:20 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 39 million or more views on day 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $397.98 |
| 09-15 00:57 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 31 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.9985691057 | $245.65 |
| 09-14 23:29 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 36 million or more views on day 3? | BUY | 0.988776856 | $470.81 |
| 09-14 23:26 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.3074808849 | $98.12 |
| 09-12 22:48 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 7.5 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.998730407 | $4.7k |
| 09-12 22:37 | Will "Trump" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.9982268041 | $193.66 |
| 09-12 06:32 | Will MrBeast's latest video get between 81 and 82 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9985270413 | $123.15 |
| 09-12 06:31 | Will no MrBeast gaming video be posted? | BUY | 0.9771388889 | $35.18 |
| 09-12 06:16 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2392504387 | $76.35 |
| 09-12 05:11 | Will MrBeast's latest video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9983333333 | $44.92 |
| 09-12 05:10 | Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.9661891892 | $107.25 |