matt308
0x69328b074d80bfc9da925e8773bd2f839e286878
- Realised P&L
- $14.4k
- Volume
- $597.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,583
- Open portfolio
- $517.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,583
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado vs. Northwestern: O/U 51.5 · Over | 0.380 | 0.460 | $184.00 | +$32.00 |
| Spread: Louisiana (-9.5) · Louisiana | 0.440 | 0.730 | $80.30 | +$31.90 |
| Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.455 | $60.97 | −$0.67 |
| Spread: LA (-9.5) · NYG | 0.540 | 0.585 | $58.49 | +$4.50 |
| Michigan State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 52.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.385 | $50.05 | −$9.75 |
| James Madison vs. San Diego State · James Madison | 0.450 | 0.445 | $44.50 | −$0.50 |
| Arkansas State vs. TCU: 1H Moneyline · Arkansas State | 0.140 | 0.095 | $36.29 | −$17.19 |
| Spread: BAL (-8.5) · NO | 0.500 | 0.505 | $2.52 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.011Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner
- +$936.80at 0.296Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettini
- +$911.34at 0.022Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$748.00at 0.065Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskies
- +$567.76at 0.480Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 22:57 | Colorado vs. Northwestern: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $152.00 |
| 09-19 22:23 | Arkansas State vs. TCU: 1H Moneyline | BUY | 0.14 | $53.48 |
| 09-19 22:23 | Florida vs. Auburn: 1H Moneyline | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 09-19 21:03 | Spread: South Carolina (-3.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 09-19 06:08 | Spread: Louisiana (-9.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $48.40 |
| 09-19 05:57 | Spread: Delaware (-3.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 09-18 00:21 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-18 00:19 | Spread: BAL (-8.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-17 21:55 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska | SELL | 0.61 | $82.35 |
| 09-17 20:47 | Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska | BUY | 0.37 | $62.90 |
| 09-17 19:41 | Spread: Texas Tech (-14.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $25.89 |
| 09-17 19:38 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Sara Bejlek | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 05:58 | Spread: Texas Tech (-14.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $25.60 |
| 09-17 05:47 | Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $11.29 |
| 09-14 22:17 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend | SELL | 0.43 | $77.40 |