wobisheng2111
0x692d386084e1ff8d8a1c9ca6c6229c600ef3a05d
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $207.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.663 | 0.994 | $207.01 | +$68.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.130Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$125.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
- +$110.35at 0.527Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$100.00at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$88.63at 0.528Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 06:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $141.66 |
| 09-07 04:40 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $131.57 |
| 09-04 14:58 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.914 | $127.31 |
| 08-28 03:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.96384025 | $115.66 |
| 08-23 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 08-05 12:58 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9470797042 | $115.26 |
| 08-05 12:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.64 |
| 08-05 12:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $73.93 |
| 08-05 12:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4988493801 | $67.20 |
| 08-05 12:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $42.53 |
| 07-23 13:13 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $7.97 |
| 07-23 13:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.79 |
| 07-23 13:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $93.20 |
| 07-18 12:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $9.50 |
| 07-18 12:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.10 |