PolyBot

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Traders

0x692ccfd5b0b5dd9f688d7fd12c8921c0c839aade

0x692ccfd5b0b5dd9f688d7fd12c8921c0c839aade

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$115.3k
Markets traded
2,455
Open portfolio
$104.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,455
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? · No0.9540.976$20.46+$0.46
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4000.715$17.43+$7.68
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.7901.000$12.50+$2.63
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.915$8.77+$1.77
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? · No0.7700.825$7.50+$0.50
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $3,0000.6300.640$7.11+$0.11
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.2480.255$6.83+$0.19
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? · Yes0.2900.130$6.72−$8.28
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027? · No0.8500.735$6.05−$0.95
Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.8500.320$5.65−$9.35
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027? · No0.8400.605$5.04−$1.96
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) · Detroit Tigers0.3400.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.6170.000$0.00−$9.83
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$8.71
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 14:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-06 13:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.5399999568$5.00
10-06 13:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.5399999568$5.00
10-06 13:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.5399999568$5.00
10-06 13:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.5399999568$5.00
10-06 08:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.54$0.80
10-06 08:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.524752469$5.00
10-06 05:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.449999964$5.00
10-06 00:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-06 00:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-05 10:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSELL0.28$3.41
10-05 10:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.4099999984$5.00
10-05 05:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSELL0.54$26.34
10-05 05:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.4099999984$5.00
10-05 05:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.4099999984$5.00