River326
0x6927159c86fa3cc535c33b6520464cf4e3dc8d9c
- Realised P&L
- $-543.53
- Volume
- $60.0k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $52.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.995 | 0.992 | $22.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $13.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.980 | 0.991 | $13.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.960 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.43at 0.810Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$1.22at 0.951Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$1.09at 0.570Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$0.78at 0.870Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
- +$0.45at 0.870Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:57 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 13:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.00 |
| 10-06 13:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9949999952 | $23.00 |
| 09-21 02:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $14.00 |
| 09-21 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.00 |
| 08-01 15:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9929998441 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 02:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.00 |
| 07-27 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 07-05 03:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 03:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9919999159 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $18.00 |
| 06-26 02:58 | Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.975999998 | $4.00 |
| 06-26 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $17.00 |
| 06-08 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on June 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.00 |