PolyBot

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Traders

Erasyl

0x69165d1ae30831e6fd97c017b995e8e9654eb44b

Realised P&L
$-901.12
Volume
$149.9k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$71.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 15:58Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 15?BUY0.45$9.00
10-14 15:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15?BUY0.4969904467$9.00
10-14 15:57Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 15?BUY0.6899999425$3.00
10-14 15:56Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.6499999458$3.00
10-14 15:56Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 15?BUY0.6299999867$9.00
10-14 15:55Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.5767955632$9.00
10-14 15:54Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 15?BUY0.5$9.00
10-14 15:54Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?BUY0.5499999786$9.00
10-14 15:53Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.5599999851$3.00
10-14 15:53Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?BUY0.5901638925$3.00
10-14 15:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.3799999924$3.00
10-14 15:51Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.6799999547$3.00
10-14 15:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?SELL0.002$0.01
10-14 15:20Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?SELL0.999$4.16
10-14 15:20Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 14?SELL0.999$4.68