0x69124ec10ca646da1769518642bad554b0ceea97
- Realised P&L
- $-3.42
- Volume
- $34.24
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $3.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.330 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? · No | 0.230 | 0.230 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.290 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.150 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 15? · Down | 0.220 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.52at 0.659Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.49at 0.670US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.44at 0.699Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.710US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.40at 0.718Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:16 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:08 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:09 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:24 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:03 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:41 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:40 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 04:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:11 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 09:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 20:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 17:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 06:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |