PolyBot

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Traders

belmondoluck

0x690fe0b6d670777f0f6a2802b7c43dcce127218d

Realised P&L
$-64.46
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$48.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.8000.785$14.72$0.28
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? · No0.6830.785$11.49+$1.49
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3800.205$8.09$6.91
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? · No0.7000.665$4.75$0.25
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? · No0.8900.825$4.63$0.37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8960.818$3.65$0.35
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.021$0.83$9.17
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.0650.004$0.54$9.46
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$5.00
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No0.4400.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27? · Yes0.4080.000$0.00$5.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$2.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? · No0.2500.000$0.00$25.00
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? · No0.3540.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 01:22Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.925$10.04
08-26 01:22Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.856$11.26
06-08 02:45Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.3899998479$1.00
06-01 20:52Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.5909999787$10.00
06-01 20:49Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?BUY0.8899999858$5.00
06-01 20:47Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.8$15.00
06-01 20:46Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?BUY0.0648148028$5.00
06-01 20:45Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.3799999863$15.00
06-01 20:44Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3299999812$10.00
05-30 19:32Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.3540982937$3.00
05-30 19:29World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY0.25$25.00
05-30 19:26Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.999$6.56
05-30 19:24Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.999$22.43
05-30 02:45Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
05-30 02:41Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.4499997975$1.00