adam6901
0x690c5d386624e756389f1515b43490d7a1e617d5
- Realised P&L
- $7.97
- Volume
- $75.45
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $11.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.563 | 0.598 | $5.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.235 | $4.70 | +$1.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up | 0.690 | 1.000 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Down | 0.315 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.96at 0.619Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.86at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$1.85at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
- +$0.79at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$0.69at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 15:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8699994606 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 16:08 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5789999676 | $6.18 |
| 10-26 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 13:18 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6579999303 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 13:04 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5629999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |