PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

adam6901

0x690c5d386624e756389f1515b43490d7a1e617d5

Realised P&L
$7.97
Volume
$75.45
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$11.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.5630.598$5.31+$0.31
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1600.235$4.70+$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up0.6901.000$1.45+$0.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Down0.3150.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 10:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-28 10:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
10-27 15:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-27 15:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-27 09:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.8699994606$1.00
10-26 16:08Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5789999676$6.18
10-26 15:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-26 15:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-26 15:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-26 15:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.549999945$1.00
10-26 13:18Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6579999303$5.00
10-26 13:04Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5629999792$5.00
10-26 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.4499999438$2.00
10-26 12:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.5099999516$2.00
10-26 12:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.4899998383$1.00