9115
0x6909e05fa296707ad9fdeef67f55424761663539
- Realised P&L
- $-198.62
- Volume
- $364.7k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $479.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.960 | $479.75 | −$19.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 24? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.17 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Vici Gaming | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Up | 0.183 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$663.16 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$549.64at 0.759Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
- +$454.37at 0.688Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$266.94at 0.926Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 9?
- +$207.50at 0.942Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
- +$189.63at 0.940Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 14:46 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $89.31 |
| 10-10 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9883973979 | $1.0k |
| 10-09 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $346.23 |
| 10-09 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-09 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $227.71 |
| 10-09 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 10-09 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.96 |
| 10-09 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.95 |
| 10-09 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $28.91 |
| 10-09 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 10-09 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 10-09 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.98 |
| 10-09 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.9967017117 | $344.13 |
| 10-09 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |