0x6904c7d438b690c5b3d3eb63bea371486726dd04
0x6904c7d438b690c5b3d3eb63bea371486726dd04
- Realised P&L
- $-362.85
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $14.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes | 0.856 | 0.831 | $7.04 | −$0.21 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? · No | 0.930 | 0.925 | $4.94 | −$0.02 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · No | 0.110 | 0.112 | $1.68 | +$0.03 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes | 0.891 | 0.888 | $1.32 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.43at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$177.84at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$171.15at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$86.24at 0.102Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$78.19at 0.431Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 01:53 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.887 | $0.18 |
| 10-12 01:44 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.887 | $1.75 |
| 10-12 01:42 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.887 | $0.43 |
| 10-12 01:32 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.887 | $0.18 |
| 10-12 01:22 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.887 | $0.01 |
| 10-12 01:21 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.887 | $0.06 |
| 10-12 00:57 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.02 |
| 10-12 00:57 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.02 |
| 10-12 00:56 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.10 |
| 10-12 00:55 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.39 |
| 10-12 00:54 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.29 |
| 10-12 00:50 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.14 |
| 10-12 00:49 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.05 |
| 10-11 23:57 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | SELL | 0.901 | $4.89 |
| 10-11 23:56 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | SELL | 0.932 | $4.92 |