PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ohwell

0x69026a45418ad2440911d95beb1deacc739d678c

Realised P&L
$7.4k
Volume
$1.78M
Markets traded
332
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded332
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.6360.405$3.5k$2.0k
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5950.405$809.99$379.99
Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0600.169$2.49+$1.61
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0660.001$1.34$87.68
Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$185.43
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.3500.000$0.00$70.00
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · No0.1870.000$0.00$194.04
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$21.09
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31? · No0.5500.000$0.00$275.00
Will AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$25.84
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31? · No0.9000.000$0.00$90.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? · No0.0110.000$0.00$68.44
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July? · No0.0140.000$0.00$128.79
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$110.39
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$18.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 22:04Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.0635094221$111.42
06-22 07:41Starmer out by June 23, 2026?BUY0.11$55.00
06-21 06:28Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0669866508$55.20
06-21 06:19Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0659288164$33.25
06-20 07:21Starmer out by August 31, 2026?BUY0.08$96.00
06-14 16:29Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.052$52.00
05-17 17:05Starmer out by May 31, 2026?BUY0.73769742$737.70
05-17 12:51Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.5701786$285.09
05-14 18:09Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.464824$232.41
05-14 18:08Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.25$122.49
03-08 19:13Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY0.052$5.21
03-08 18:53Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?SELL0.9700761488$700.66
03-08 18:18Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?SELL0.9706957006$279.06
03-08 18:16Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?SELL0.9700623044$700.64
03-08 17:50Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?SELL0.933256951$1.9k