ohwell
0x69026a45418ad2440911d95beb1deacc739d678c
- Realised P&L
- $7.4k
- Volume
- $1.78M
- Markets traded
- 332
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded332
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.5kat 0.191Fed rate cut by May 1?
- +$6.8kat 0.342Fed rate cut by June 12?
- +$3.9kat 0.046Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$2.6kat 0.992Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?
- +$2.1kat 0.270Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 22:04 | Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.0635094221 | $111.42 |
| 06-22 07:41 | Starmer out by June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 06-21 06:28 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0669866508 | $55.20 |
| 06-21 06:19 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0659288164 | $33.25 |
| 06-20 07:21 | Starmer out by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $96.00 |
| 06-14 16:29 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.052 | $52.00 |
| 05-17 17:05 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73769742 | $737.70 |
| 05-17 12:51 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.5701786 | $285.09 |
| 05-14 18:09 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.464824 | $232.41 |
| 05-14 18:08 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $122.49 |
| 03-08 19:13 | Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.052 | $5.21 |
| 03-08 18:53 | Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.9700761488 | $700.66 |
| 03-08 18:18 | Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.9706957006 | $279.06 |
| 03-08 18:16 | Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.9700623044 | $700.64 |
| 03-08 17:50 | Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.933256951 | $1.9k |