L339
0x68fa6dd679403913af9b22e8b6b8be4af0a7ca35
- Realised P&L
- $-247.71
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $5.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.019 | $5.83 | −$53.60 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 15? · Up | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.58at 0.240Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
- +$5.83at 0.046Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
- +$2.08at 0.003Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.12at 0.178U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
- +$0.58at 0.147Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 04:42 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | BUY | 0.3989685405 | $19.34 |
| 10-08 02:50 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $34.47 |
| 10-08 02:40 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.62 |
| 10-08 02:39 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 21:39 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.469999984 | $7.36 |
| 09-21 21:13 | Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.23 |
| 09-21 21:12 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.484 | $7.28 |
| 06-17 23:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.00 |
| 06-17 23:56 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.09 |
| 06-17 23:56 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.33 |
| 06-17 23:56 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $2.44 |
| 06-17 23:56 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.21 |
| 06-17 19:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $6.50 |
| 06-17 19:20 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.53 |
| 06-15 06:09 | Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0086931281 | $2.00 |