Rebanaa
0x68e5bc8542c0adf66e0062f20797e98e41b8c48d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $32.0k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $33.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.245 | $33.61 | +$3.83 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$251.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$336.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$455.80 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.20 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$246.04at 0.803Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$128.73at 0.636Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
- +$127.49at 0.690Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?
- +$75.93at 0.840Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 30-April 5?
- +$27.47at 0.950Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 13:17 | Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.10 |
| 09-11 13:16 | Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.12 | $15.96 |
| 09-11 13:16 | Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.13 | $50.83 |
| 08-19 16:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.27 | $455.80 |
| 08-19 14:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | SELL | 0.14 | $45.07 |
| 08-19 14:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | SELL | 0.15 | $345.00 |
| 08-17 16:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | SELL | 0.32 | $120.64 |
| 08-12 12:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.49 | $37.73 |
| 08-12 11:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.22 | $466.82 |
| 08-12 11:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 08-12 11:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.48 | $144.00 |
| 08-12 11:51 | Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.05 |
| 08-12 11:49 | Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.1458666964 | $52.39 |
| 08-12 11:49 | Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.1720311111 | $15.48 |
| 08-12 11:47 | Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.17 | $24.65 |