zxds45
0x68e114cf0e8cc6fffd83fc6697a7110a0317702f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $8.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.540 | 0.535 | $8.03 | −$0.07 |
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders · Seahawks | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: James Madison (-18.5) · James Madison | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will a hurricane form by August 31? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Penguins vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Senators vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.482 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Rockets vs. Jazz · Rockets | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Utah vs. Sharks · Utah | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$439.20 |
| Flames vs. Predators · Flames | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| New York Mets vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.30 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles · Kansas City Royals | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.19 |
| LAR vs. Panthers · LAR | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| South Florida vs. North Texas · North Texas | 0.521 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$520.00 |
| New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.460Stars vs. Rangers
- +$974.23at 0.542Capitals vs. Islanders
- +$923.08at 0.520Oklahoma vs. Texas
- +$585.90at 0.580Grizzlies vs. Kings
- +$201.46at 0.410Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 10:49 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.54 | $8.10 |
| 09-25 07:59 | Seahawks vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 07:59 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.602 | $8.34 |
| 09-12 05:51 | New York Mets vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 08-19 11:21 | Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.41 | $4.92 |
| 08-11 09:54 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.47 | $11.75 |
| 08-01 09:35 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.6 | $12.60 |
| 07-24 09:30 | New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.55 | $19.25 |
| 07-12 07:16 | Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.43 | $14.19 |
| 06-26 03:30 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.35 | $9.80 |
| 06-12 09:37 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7209999348 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 09:37 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.5299999936 | $25.00 |
| 06-12 09:36 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.339 | $33.88 |
| 04-26 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.64 |
| 03-17 09:55 | Pacers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.9099999925 | $7.31 |