TKD44
0x68df8708aadb901618f11abf2471805a66a24815
- Realised P&L
- $300.0k
- Volume
- $5.79M
- Markets traded
- 306
- Open portfolio
- $182.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded306
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Titans · Eagles | 0.740 | 0.745 | $44.7k | +$300.00 |
| Spread: Broncos (-3.5) · Jaguars | 0.570 | 0.575 | $34.9k | +$303.20 |
| Spread: Patriots (-5.5) · Patriots | 0.490 | 0.485 | $24.7k | −$255.00 |
| Panthers vs. Falcons · Panthers | 0.570 | 0.565 | $19.8k | −$175.00 |
| Spread: Bears (-4.5) · Bears | 0.490 | 0.495 | $17.3k | +$175.00 |
| Spread: Broncos (-2.5) · Jaguars | 0.480 | 0.485 | $12.1k | +$125.00 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) · Browns | 0.490 | 0.495 | $9.9k | +$100.00 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5) · Browns | 0.520 | 0.525 | $8.2k | +$78.35 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) · Commanders | 0.480 | 0.485 | $7.3k | +$75.33 |
| Spread: Panthers (-2.5) · Panthers | 0.520 | 0.505 | $3.3k | −$97.50 |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) · Celtics | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.1k |
| Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs McCartney Kessler · Kessler | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.9k |
| Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Sonay Kartal · Kartal | 0.374 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$274.01 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) · Patriots | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.44 |
| Panthers vs. Jaguars · Jaguars | 0.462 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.6kat 0.444Spread: Rams (-7.5)
- +$49.0kat 0.639Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$47.2kat 0.600Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$46.1kat 0.244Packers vs. Bears
- +$44.6kat 0.478Spread: Chargers (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:58 | Spread: Patriots (-5.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $2.8k |
| 09-18 00:42 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 56.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $1.8k |
| 09-15 03:14 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $498.18 |
| 09-15 02:26 | Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 02:26 | Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $1.5k |
| 09-15 00:58 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.42 | $5.0k |
| 09-15 00:29 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $1.1k |
| 09-15 00:27 | Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $113.00 |
| 09-15 00:21 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $7.65 |
| 09-14 23:42 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 20.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.3k |
| 09-13 14:15 | Matt Hibner: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.98 | $7.46 |
| 09-13 14:15 | Matt Hibner: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.98 | $10.18 |
| 09-13 14:15 | Matt Hibner: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-13 14:15 | Matt Hibner: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.98 | $9.79 |
| 09-13 14:15 | Matt Hibner: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |