xgfnxfg
0x68de12b54233e4ca952c830b6bd284d56a2039c7
- Realised P&L
- $86.84
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $299.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.800 | 0.795 | $188.41 | −$1.19 |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) · AS Roma | 0.790 | 0.785 | $111.47 | −$0.71 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.79 |
| Games Total: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.76 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$262.50 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A · B8 | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.95 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.12 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$307.22at 0.500Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$306.23at 0.500Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
- +$273.90at 0.500Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- +$264.19at 0.500Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$261.45at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:10 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.79 | $112.18 |
| 11-02 06:08 | Bucks vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.8 | $189.60 |
| 10-31 06:15 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $521.47 |
| 10-31 06:15 | Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.48 |
| 10-31 06:15 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $522.00 |
| 10-31 06:14 | Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $505.99 |
| 10-31 06:14 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.53 |
| 10-31 06:13 | Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $527.00 |
| 10-31 06:13 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $529.94 |
| 10-31 06:13 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.995 | $14.04 |
| 10-31 06:12 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.995 | $512.42 |
| 10-31 06:12 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.09 |
| 10-31 06:12 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.996 | $152.00 |
| 10-31 06:11 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $109.78 |
| 10-31 06:11 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.996 | $375.00 |