PolyBot

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Traders

moonstarstar

0x68dc541ceec58b8277cc2b6b0b70926117b3a9c8

Realised P&L
$117.50
Volume
$94.6k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.966$779.04+$85.48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.945$661.50+$311.50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.585$160.88+$23.38
Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.910$91.00+$16.00
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8100.741$74.05$6.95
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.645$45.68$0.35
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.949$34.53+$1.04
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.991$32.70+$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 02:38Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.351$347.49
09-04 02:38Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.64$640.00
09-04 02:37Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.967$187.15
09-04 02:37Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$115.90
08-25 08:36Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.352$348.48
08-25 08:36Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.65$650.00
08-25 08:35Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$49.00
08-25 08:35Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5$137.50
08-02 07:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.7145454545$157.20
07-31 14:03Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.25$22.27
07-31 14:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.48$83.03
07-31 14:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.4862338462$221.24
07-31 13:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.54$2.70
07-31 13:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.56$112.00
07-31 09:31Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$108.58