0x68d88298aaa7754d7ea3f512cc39b2e097227362
0x68d88298aaa7754d7ea3f512cc39b2e097227362
- Realised P&L
- $-1.15
- Volume
- $42.55
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $11.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.285 | $7.91 | +$3.19 |
| Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.755 | $1.92 | +$0.06 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.590 | $1.89 | +$0.03 |
| Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.86at 0.545Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 01:45 | Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $3.72 |
| 10-21 01:42 | Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7299999529 | $1.86 |
| 10-21 01:41 | Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5799999189 | $1.86 |
| 10-21 01:39 | Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 15:24 | Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:21 | Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |