0x68cf601c8daecc49ab94b02b1f5f9bb6add78cf8
- Realised P&L
- $-723.84
- Volume
- $60.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,230
- Open portfolio
- $72.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,230
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.62at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?
- +$62.34at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?
- +$38.26at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 26?
- +$35.44at 0.134Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?
- +$35.17at 0.126Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.04 |
| 08-03 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.04 |
| 08-03 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.18 |
| 08-03 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.14 |
| 08-03 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $9.62 |
| 08-03 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.62 | $25.20 |
| 08-02 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.91 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.76 | $10.07 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.84 | $10.06 |
| 08-01 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 08-01 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.93 |
| 08-01 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 08-01 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.43 |
| 08-01 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.00 |
| 08-01 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.82 | $20.12 |