PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x68cf601c8daecc49ab94b02b1f5f9bb6add78cf8

Realised P&L
$-723.84
Volume
$60.2k
Markets traded
1,230
Open portfolio
$72.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,230
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 4? · No0.7900.720$18.22$1.77
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? · No0.6200.360$14.63$10.57
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on August 4? · No0.8200.993$12.02+$2.09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? · No0.8600.995$11.57+$1.56
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5? · No0.8600.655$7.62$2.38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? · Yes0.3400.380$2.20+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? · Yes0.0800.065$1.53$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on August 4? · Yes0.0100.007$1.50$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? · Yes0.2600.180$1.41$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? · Yes0.2400.050$0.41$1.55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on August 5? · Yes0.0020.001$0.40$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? · Yes0.2800.011$0.08$1.96
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 5? · Yes0.0200.001$0.07$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on August 4? · Yes0.0300.001$0.03$1.97
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 4? · Yes0.0600.001$0.02$2.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 22:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5?BUY0.26$2.04
08-03 13:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?BUY0.28$2.04
08-03 13:03Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 4?BUY0.06$2.18
08-03 13:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 5?BUY0.02$0.14
08-03 10:40Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.79$9.62
08-03 10:40Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.62$25.20
08-02 22:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.34$1.91
08-02 22:46Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.76$10.07
08-02 14:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.84$10.06
08-01 14:44Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 2?BUY0.14$0.70
08-01 13:36Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 2?BUY0.04$1.93
08-01 13:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3?BUY0.02$0.10
08-01 13:36Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on August 2?BUY0.02$0.43
08-01 13:31Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 3?BUY0.8$7.00
08-01 13:31Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.82$20.12