PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x68cA164913E33e17b8F4fb9b7Aac008702549d92-1774478131392

0x68ca164913e33e17b8f4fb9b7aac008702549d92

Realised P&L
$4.54
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$18.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1900.210$10.05+$0.96
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.185$5.78$4.22
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1010.049$1.52$1.61
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0980.011$1.07$8.93
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$3.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 22:12Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$47.11
07-11 05:39Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
07-11 05:38Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2119999847$10.00
04-09 17:13Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.21$6.37
04-09 17:13Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?SELL0.049350206$1.68
04-09 17:13Mistral AI IPO before 2027?SELL0.1509458948$7.98
04-09 17:13Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?SELL0.06$7.50
04-09 17:13Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?SELL0.1635460993$7.38
04-09 17:13Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.09$7.14
04-09 17:13Celonis IPO before 2027?SELL0.1536908517$5.36
04-09 17:13Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?SELL0.0070991158$0.88
04-07 19:34Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?BUY0.0588528416$2.00
04-02 23:55Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.097708288$10.00
03-31 20:19Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.1899999841$9.09
03-31 19:19Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?BUY0.08$10.00