PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x68c5ecd07c17ca7fcd4f11b79e40a87aced54a87

Realised P&L
$-6.02
Volume
$419.99
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$58.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.5000.966$37.67+$18.17
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8200.925$12.03+$1.36
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1930.085$3.40$4.33
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1900.075$1.50$2.30
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.2280.128$1.41$1.10
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.3460.034$1.36$12.49
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2200.105$0.53$0.57
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1900.065$0.52$1.00
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026? · No0.5000.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 09:50Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.13$2.21
07-10 02:02Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.206$1.24
06-26 19:01Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.82$10.66
04-26 20:39Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.19$3.80
04-26 20:38Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.19$1.52
04-26 20:38Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.78$7.80
04-26 20:38Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.22$1.10
04-26 20:38Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.486$2.92
04-22 17:20Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.974$8.77
04-22 17:19Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.254$3.81
04-22 17:19Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.746$5.22
04-11 10:28Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.09$1.35
04-11 10:28Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.24$5.52
04-11 10:28US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.85$10.20
04-11 10:28US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.15$1.05