lekker27
0x68b06de3fd9bc504b67d766d17390f039922bd1f
- Realised P&L
- $-377.85
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $10.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.915 | $10.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.77at 0.310US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
- +$14.09at 0.570Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
- +$9.11at 0.180Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$-1.00at 0.065US forces enter Iran by February 28?
- +$-5.00at 0.490Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 14:45 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 21:20 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 14:32 | Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 04-04 11:58 | Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3289473684 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 20:24 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0439999979 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 20:20 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 14:05 | US forces enter Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0649999408 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 13:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999971 | $10.00 |
| 02-27 18:40 | US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999946 | $30.00 |
| 02-23 17:01 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999972 | $40.00 |
| 02-18 20:07 | Will Leavitt say "Fake" or "Hoax" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.0448497492 | $10.00 |
| 02-18 19:55 | Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469812147 | $10.00 |
| 02-15 21:41 | Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.3819855609 | $200.00 |
| 02-15 19:24 | Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.36633663 | $34.00 |
| 02-15 19:22 | Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.9711855229 | $34.08 |