kitas
0x68ae67c5dfe1e2b420e03333d33528eec567a61b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.85
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $1.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.920 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A · Team NS | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.985Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
- +$0.64at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$0.60at 0.627Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$0.29at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
- +$0.29at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 23? | BUY | 0.992 | $6.00 |
| 08-22 03:22 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.00 |
| 07-12 01:27 | GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.943999995 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 01:25 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $40.00 |
| 06-27 12:52 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $50.00 |
| 06-17 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.992 | $6.00 |
| 06-17 01:55 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 01:54 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 06:32 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $50.00 |
| 06-07 06:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.00 |
| 06-07 06:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 01:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on June 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.00 |
| 05-22 01:47 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 05-22 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |