0x689AEE27B76A6F8f82cdA034a5Dc5e2801f08e9f-1758712618589
0x689aee27b76a6f8f82cda034a5dc5e2801f08e9f
- Realised P&L
- $-316.37
- Volume
- $53.9k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $98.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.16at 0.564Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
- +$56.15at 0.260Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-09-25?
- +$55.60at 0.854Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$51.47at 0.660Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$51.02at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 11:15 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.62 |
| 10-22 11:15 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.69 |
| 10-22 11:15 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.92 |
| 10-19 14:57 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.027 | $1.08 |
| 10-19 14:57 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.04 |
| 10-19 14:56 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.027 | $1.08 |
| 10-19 14:56 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.04 |
| 10-16 17:48 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.80 |
| 09-28 16:13 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.87 |
| 09-28 12:04 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0098055 | $1.96 |
| 09-15 11:51 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.55 | $134.43 |
| 09-07 12:46 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.3709948028 | $124.64 |
| 09-07 12:46 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5318596819 | $130.00 |
| 07-14 11:48 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4075000017 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 10:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $31.94 |