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0x689a1891c8ffce8cad590bfe48f3a14b40c7012e
- Realised P&L
- $29.15
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $27.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Alina Korneeva · Viktorija Golubic | 0.500 | 0.495 | $12.57 | −$0.13 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.485 | $8.46 | −$6.54 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.846 | 0.966 | $6.81 | +$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.11at 0.276Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
- +$5.27at 0.740Will AZ win on 2026-03-19?
- +$4.74at 0.760Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$4.72at 0.517Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$3.64at 0.567Spread: France (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 10:37 | China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Alina Korneeva | SELL | 0.49 | $1.13 |
| 09-29 09:58 | China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Alina Korneeva | SELL | 0.49 | $1.12 |
| 09-29 09:57 | China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Alina Korneeva | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 06-27 15:50 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY | 0.8299999491 | $11.08 |
| 06-27 15:46 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY | 0.8269998895 | $4.26 |
| 06-26 01:57 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999576 | $15.00 |
| 06-24 11:12 | Sonmez vs. Bejlek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $1.96 |
| 06-24 10:33 | Zeynep Sonmez vs. Sara Bejlek: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $9.60 |
| 06-23 00:32 | Spread: France (-2.5) | SELL | 0.91 | $9.73 |
| 06-22 16:01 | Spread: France (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5599999888 | $5.99 |
| 06-21 20:42 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.1799999684 | $3.99 |
| 06-21 00:11 | Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $9.99 |
| 06-20 12:03 | Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus | BUY | 0.5 | $3.84 |
| 06-20 02:51 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.4599999631 | $5.99 |
| 06-20 01:10 | Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding? | BUY | 0.9729999996 | $15.00 |