taxistadewallst
0x68954afacbb42a4dd20340a0774ef47540d96426
- Realised P&L
- $256.88
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.808 | 0.840 | $427.81 | +$16.35 |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? · No | 0.647 | 0.875 | $401.60 | +$104.60 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.810 | 0.959 | $137.88 | +$21.36 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No | 0.668 | 0.870 | $130.24 | +$30.24 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.475 | 0.442 | $92.95 | −$7.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-165.80at 0.654Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 00:44 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $200.00 |
| 08-12 22:51 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.5638268022 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 14:16 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.709999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 12:23 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.6891031701 | $97.00 |
| 08-02 12:21 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8272658798 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 01:53 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.5399999991 | $63.00 |
| 08-02 01:47 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.6679960099 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 15:41 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4749999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 15:40 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 03-04 00:19 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7877107381 | $111.46 |
| 03-03 02:51 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999995 | $116.52 |