Semeavalanchanenelauto
0x68913efe73d211e53b6b7af42bb73fb47fb04b0b
- Realised P&L
- $906.60
- Volume
- $184.9k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $79.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by September 30? · No | 0.550 | 0.991 | $53.33 | +$23.72 |
| Will MrBeast hit 526 million subscribers by September 30? · No | 0.820 | 0.690 | $26.63 | −$5.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$424.87at 0.895Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$224.77at 0.814Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$109.65at 0.480Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31?
- +$62.52at 0.976Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$56.48at 0.844Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 02:47 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.89 |
| 08-24 02:42 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $11.49 |
| 08-24 02:42 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 08-24 01:59 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.126 | $2.52 |
| 08-24 01:59 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.126 | $7.55 |
| 08-24 01:57 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.1493103448 | $21.65 |
| 08-21 02:09 | Will MrBeast hit 516 million subscribers by August 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 08-19 02:11 | Will MrBeast hit 516 million subscribers by August 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $0.09 |
| 07-27 22:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $3.0k |
| 07-24 01:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $3.1k |
| 07-21 08:22 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.998 | $1000.00 |
| 07-02 21:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $3.1k |
| 07-02 21:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | BUY | 0.992 | $35.74 |
| 06-25 03:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.955 | $3.0k |
| 06-22 00:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.9499999992 | $502.16 |