emapol4
0x688f4fcd71531024af3c08fbc0a0933ef817f544
- Realised P&L
- $-81.83
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $8.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.65at 0.012Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$1.65at 0.012Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
- +$1.65at 0.012Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
- +$1.65at 0.012Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
- +$1.65at 0.012Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 21:02 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.71 |
| 04-07 14:10 | Will Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.08 |
| 04-07 14:10 | Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.10 |
| 04-06 22:38 | Will USD.AI launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.33 |
| 04-06 22:38 | Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.46 |
| 04-03 21:33 | Will Nathan Sage be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa? | BUY | 0.0159441726 | $0.72 |
| 04-03 21:31 | Will Cho Kyoung-tae win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 04-03 21:31 | Will Drake release a new song in 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.10 |
| 04-03 21:29 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 04-03 21:29 | Will Trump deport 700-800k people? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.09 |
| 04-03 21:29 | Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.31 |
| 04-03 21:29 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.10 |
| 04-03 21:29 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.10 |
| 04-03 21:29 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.10 |
| 04-03 21:29 | Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.10 |