Sigmaligma69
0x688dbc495e14cc97c6a4030089b876398f25f983
- Realised P&L
- $-32.96
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Wales 0 - 1 Norway? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.99 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Argentina to win the second half? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 7.5 Corners · Over | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France vs. Morocco: France O/U 5.5 Corners · Over | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Egypt to win the second half? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.01at 0.447Spain to win the second half?
- +$4.93at 0.447Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?
- +$4.85at 0.296Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
- +$4.36at 0.477Bosnia-Herzegovina to win the second half?
- +$4.18at 0.447Brazil to win the second half?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:16 | Exact Score: Wales 0 - 1 Norway? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 15:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $2.50 |
| 10-01 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 21:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 21:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 07-13 18:16 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4124999347 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 23:41 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:17 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 16:05 | Argentina to win the second half? | BUY | 0.4799999568 | $4.00 |
| 07-10 07:57 | Spain to win the second half? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 07-09 17:38 | France vs. Morocco: France O/U 5.5 Corners | BUY | 0.58 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 08:19 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.20 |
| 07-08 08:19 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 07-06 21:12 | Spain to win the second half? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.08 |