PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x688597e88da8dd45f1bf81120a697c073ec7af17

Realised P&L
$-2.42
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$5.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$2.12$0.16
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? · No0.9500.930$0.98$0.02
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0060.005$0.85$0.15
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0060.004$0.67$0.33
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0110.007$0.64$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:03Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.39$0.22
08-03 08:10Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?BUY0.0065064984$1.00
08-03 06:26Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?BUY0.005999994$1.00
08-03 06:25Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
08-02 19:22Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.36$0.03
08-02 12:59Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.35$0.13
08-02 12:59Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.35$0.00
08-02 02:38Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999474$1.17
08-02 02:38Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999451$1.11
08-01 22:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.011$2.91
08-01 21:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.0094750492$2.31
08-01 20:28Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.39$0.14
08-01 20:00Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.37$0.09
08-01 19:58Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.36$0.22
08-01 19:56Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.36$0.02