PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x688597e88da8dd45f1bf81120a697c073ec7af17

Realised P&L
$-4.24
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$2.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? · No0.9500.970$1.02+$0.02
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0040.003$0.66$0.34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$0.61$0.39
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0060.003$0.38$0.53
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0110.003$0.18$0.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 18:04Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?SELL0.002$0.02
08-22 15:13Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?SELL0.002$0.02
08-21 23:05Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?SELL0.022$0.05
08-21 15:32Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?SELL0.002$0.01
08-21 11:52Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?SELL0.028$0.42
08-21 11:36Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?SELL0.027$0.01
08-21 08:58Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
08-21 07:30Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$0.81
08-20 20:35Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499998909$1.10
08-20 17:20Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?SELL0.002$0.02
08-20 16:42Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$0.85
08-20 15:37Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$0.27
08-20 12:45Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?SELL0.002$0.06
08-20 12:44Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?SELL0.002$0.25
08-20 02:54Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00