PolyBot

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Traders

0x688453d26ff9778c28b185dfc59298eb1a3fa325

0x688453d26ff9778c28b185dfc59298eb1a3fa325

Realised P&L
$-18.74
Volume
$7.5k
Markets traded
334
Open portfolio
$3.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded334
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · No0.8600.835$1.89−$0.06
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0480.019$0.79−$1.16
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.5300.150$0.53−$1.35
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers0.7400.000$0.00−$1.95
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) · Switzerland0.1600.000$0.00−$1.95
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · San Francisco Giants0.4400.000$0.00−$3.90
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Arizona Diamondbacks0.5700.000$0.00−$3.90
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.95
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$1.95
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners · Arizona Diamondbacks0.4300.000$0.00−$1.95
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners0.6100.000$0.00−$3.90
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics · Athletics0.5500.000$0.00−$3.90
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$1.95
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 · Over0.0500.000$0.00−$3.90
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles · Seattle Mariners0.5100.000$0.00−$3.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 11:59Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9?BUY0.01$1.50
10-09 02:41Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.048$1.95
10-09 02:35Sharks vs. BluesSELL0.52$3.66
10-09 02:35Will T1 win Worlds 2026?BUY0.8599999471$1.95
10-09 02:34Sharks vs. BluesBUY0.5399998671$1.95
10-09 02:34Sharks vs. BluesBUY0.5699999386$1.95
10-08 21:23LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion PlayoffsBUY0.3699999488$1.95
10-08 21:23Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.995$1.95
10-08 08:40Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9929996074$1.95
10-08 02:13Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?SELL0.69$2.64
08-28 18:45US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?BUY0.8599999427$1.50
08-28 15:050 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?SELL0.1$1.74
08-27 11:56US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?BUY0.899999861$2.59
08-27 05:58Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 27?BUY0.16$1.50
08-26 20:34Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?SELL0.995$2.25