Highly-Regarded
0x687ea0a8192622f14602ff09a9e07d2cf21e540e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $155.2k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.045 | $1.9k | −$4.5k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.820 | 0.972 | $97.15 | +$15.15 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.013 | $11.70 | +$6.30 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.003 | $2.50 | −$7.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$328.74at 0.196Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$232.64at 0.632Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$194.69at 0.556Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$177.18at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$168.51at 0.640Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-30 18:12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 05-21 08:34 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $111.15 |
| 05-21 08:13 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $300.00 |
| 05-21 08:12 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $147.00 |
| 05-21 08:10 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.4k |
| 05-21 04:16 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $401.92 |
| 05-21 04:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $425.00 |
| 05-21 04:10 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 05-20 22:42 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | SELL | 0.0014156186 | $7.14 |
| 05-20 21:19 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 05-20 20:51 | Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 18:22 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 05-20 11:09 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $750.15 |
| 05-20 08:07 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.3k |
| 05-19 20:15 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $218.35 |