PolyBot

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Traders

0x687Ade298F26343C127ae7EBCdF61a3139f9E7C9-1730442696772

0x687ade298f26343c127ae7ebcdf61a3139f9e7c9

Realised P&L
$-288.21
Volume
$25.9k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$258.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4780.456$95.29−$4.71
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1580.135$85.35−$14.65
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7000.685$14.68−$0.32
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? · No0.8300.845$10.18+$0.18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6400.645$10.08+$0.08
Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.7000.675$9.64−$0.36
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No0.2200.052$9.55−$30.45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3000.235$7.83−$2.17
Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.1530.202$6.59+$1.59
Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.1800.140$3.89−$1.11
Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.4200.275$3.27−$1.73
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.5400.110$1.02−$3.98
Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2950.058$0.97−$4.03
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.0110.002$0.18−$0.82
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$16.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 17:11Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6999999813$15.00
10-16 17:11Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
10-15 11:31Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.294999992$5.00
10-15 11:31Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
10-15 11:31Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
10-15 11:29Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.5399999568$5.00
10-15 11:27Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.699999993$10.00
10-15 11:27Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.153162052$5.00
10-15 07:11Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.299999994$10.00
10-14 09:57Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.232311817$30.00
10-14 09:56Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1892255$10.00
10-14 09:56Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
10-14 09:54Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.011$1.00
10-14 09:53Israel military action against Lebanon on October 14?BUY0.1$1.00
10-14 00:38Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.64$10.00