0x687Ade298F26343C127ae7EBCdF61a3139f9E7C9-1730442696772
0x687ade298f26343c127ae7ebcdf61a3139f9e7c9
- Realised P&L
- $-288.21
- Volume
- $25.9k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $258.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.19at 0.429US military action against Iran before July?
- +$29.40at 0.389Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
- +$21.76at 0.042US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?
- +$16.82at 0.440Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
- +$14.60at 0.023Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 17:11 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6999999813 | $15.00 |
| 10-16 17:11 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 11:31 | Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.294999992 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 11:31 | Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 11:31 | Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 11:29 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 11:27 | Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 11:27 | Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.153162052 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 07:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 09:57 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.232311817 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 09:56 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1892255 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 09:56 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 09:54 | Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 14? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 00:38 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |