0x68704036bc2c1406fdec781b29127d139e4f5826
0x68704036bc2c1406fdec781b29127d139e4f5826
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $1.45M
- Markets traded
- 694
- Open portfolio
- $910.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded694
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Magic · Hawks | 0.430 | 0.455 | $370.35 | +$20.35 |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) · Movsar Evloev | 0.500 | 0.505 | $252.50 | +$2.50 |
| Warriors vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.660 | 0.675 | $149.64 | +$3.33 |
| Spread: Wizards (-4.5) · Wizards | 0.510 | 0.505 | $99.02 | −$0.98 |
| Bucks vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.630 | 0.615 | $39.05 | −$0.95 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.477 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.12 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) · Steve Garcia | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.25 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.60 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Algeria? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks · Cavaliers | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.12 |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$593.62at 0.497Suns vs. Pistons
- +$555.64at 0.517Raptors vs. Cavaliers
- +$541.79at 0.539Lakers vs. Trail Blazers
- +$505.80at 0.436Clippers vs. Grizzlies
- +$494.50at 0.505Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 14:04 | Bucks vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.629999995 | $40.00 |
| 10-21 14:04 | Spread: Wizards (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 03:20 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.82 | $19.98 |
| 10-21 03:20 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 02:43 | Hawks vs. Magic | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 02:26 | Thunder vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.31 | $65.96 |
| 10-21 02:05 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 01:33 | Hawks vs. Magic | BUY | 0.4299999999 | $250.00 |
| 10-20 23:54 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3899999993 | $72.41 |
| 10-20 23:54 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 23:53 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 19:16 | Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $17.79 |
| 10-01 13:08 | Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $22.13 |
| 10-01 13:08 | Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 09-30 01:50 | Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $22.59 |