Projecthub
0x686d1e074cc507420f7f023de8b43ff00835e7c0
- Realised P&L
- $-94.05
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $17.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.024 | $17.75 | −$82.25 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.20at 0.200US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 06:07 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.003 | $43.00 |
| 04-22 06:00 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $43.20 |
| 04-21 20:28 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $12.00 |
| 04-21 20:25 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1324252732 | $100.00 |