0x6868Ca66c74A6a1a7eaF7976Bda53895260a24F0-1757789683743
0x6868ca66c74a6a1a7eaf7976bda53895260a24f0
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $455.5k
- Markets traded
- 902
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded902
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.845 | $1.7k | +$90.00 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.531 | $1.1k | +$278.00 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.385 | 0.747 | $746.77 | +$362.07 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.298 | 0.213 | $427.00 | −$169.00 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.090 | $180.00 | +$8.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes | 0.849 | 0.875 | $175.00 | +$5.20 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.355 | $71.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.295 | $59.00 | +$15.00 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.055 | $55.00 | −$245.00 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.135 | $27.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.710T20 Series England vs India: England vs India
- +$2.3kat 0.448Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$2.2kat 0.635Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$1.8kat 0.394Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$1.8kat 0.901Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 20:21 | Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.93 | $152.52 |
| 07-30 20:21 | Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.92 | $16.56 |
| 07-30 20:18 | The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix | SELL | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 07-30 20:05 | Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 07-30 20:02 | The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 07-30 20:01 | The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 07-30 19:56 | The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix | BUY | 0.8499999997 | $250.00 |
| 07-30 19:54 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-07-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 07-30 19:54 | The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $600.00 |
| 07-30 19:51 | Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.04 |
| 07-30 19:51 | Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA end in a draw? | BUY | 0.019 | $3.80 |
| 07-30 19:50 | Will FK Liepāja win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.015 | $6.00 |
| 07-30 19:40 | Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $305.63 |
| 07-30 19:18 | Will Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $64.25 |
| 07-30 19:17 | Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.65 | $130.00 |