pianzhimian
0x6865d2216015bffaa2c65adc7d5807c68180f966
- Realised P&L
- $-77.74
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 439
- Open portfolio
- $26.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded439
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27? · No | 0.380 | 0.595 | $7.80 | +$2.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27? · No | 0.590 | 0.645 | $5.38 | +$0.46 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 27? · No | 0.560 | 0.565 | $5.01 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 27? · No | 0.610 | 0.590 | $4.77 | −$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.205 | $3.53 | −$1.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26? · No | 0.540 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$4.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.35at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24?
- +$7.58at 0.402Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 23?
- +$7.34at 0.412Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?
- +$7.24at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$6.76at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 19:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.5899999544 | $4.92 |
| 09-26 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.97 |
| 09-26 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3799999756 | $4.98 |
| 09-26 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.6099999678 | $4.93 |
| 09-26 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5399999781 | $4.93 |
| 09-25 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.7799999683 | $4.92 |
| 09-25 17:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.0899999989 | $4.98 |
| 09-25 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5799999583 | $4.73 |
| 09-25 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5199999515 | $4.72 |
| 09-25 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5285235267 | $4.94 |
| 09-25 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.6652761508 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.17 |
| 09-23 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.98 |
| 09-23 23:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.95 |