PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pianzhimian

0x6865d2216015bffaa2c65adc7d5807c68180f966

Realised P&L
$-77.74
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
439
Open portfolio
$26.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded439
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 19:28Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27?BUY0.5899999544$4.92
09-26 19:20Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 27?BUY0.56$4.97
09-26 15:52Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.3799999756$4.98
09-26 15:50Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 27?BUY0.6099999678$4.93
09-26 05:23Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-26 02:55Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?BUY0.5399999781$4.93
09-25 20:43Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 26?BUY0.7799999683$4.92
09-25 17:38Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.0899999989$4.98
09-25 16:21Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.5799999583$4.73
09-25 15:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 26?BUY0.5199999515$4.72
09-25 07:13Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.5285235267$4.94
09-25 06:59Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 25?BUY0.6652761508$5.00
09-24 08:51Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?SELL0.02$0.17
09-23 23:48Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?BUY0.5$4.98
09-23 23:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24?BUY0.32$4.95