PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xiaozeuy

0x68629e4cd2c7ce3f765ce4f5e5996c04d938c6cb

Realised P&L
$-3.49
Volume
$392.65
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$2.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.385$2.31−$1.47
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.380$0.63−$0.37
Pistons vs. Hornets · Hornets0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$2.72
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.10
Hawks vs. Bucks · Bucks0.5300.000$0.00−$1.78
Jazz vs. Kings · Jazz0.4100.000$0.00−$2.63
Golden Knights vs. Penguins · Golden Knights0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 16:01Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.63$3.78
08-30 06:51Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999736$1.03
08-23 19:47Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$1.00
07-03 18:23Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.7799998471$1.02
06-30 16:37Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7699999025$1.50
06-27 17:35Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.5499999027$1.13
06-23 09:01Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.64$1.10
06-20 17:19Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.3299999284$2.72
05-18 18:14Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5899998801$1.82
05-06 14:28US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.76$1.08
05-05 10:38Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6469998875$1.38
03-15 16:46Jazz vs. KingsBUY0.4099999174$2.63
03-06 08:37Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY0.5989998682$1.20
03-04 10:11DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY0.5$1.10
03-03 12:17Hawks vs. BucksBUY0.5299999494$1.78