xiaozeuy
0x68629e4cd2c7ce3f765ce4f5e5996c04d938c6cb
- Realised P&L
- $-3.49
- Volume
- $392.65
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $2.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.385 | $2.31 | −$1.47 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.380 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.72 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Hawks vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.78 |
| Jazz vs. Kings · Jazz | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.63 |
| Golden Knights vs. Penguins · Golden Knights | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.78at 0.430Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?
- +$1.24at 0.597Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$0.91at 0.557Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
- +$0.80at 0.599Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$0.73at 0.658Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 16:01 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.78 |
| 08-30 06:51 | Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999736 | $1.03 |
| 08-23 19:47 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 18:23 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.7799998471 | $1.02 |
| 06-30 16:37 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999025 | $1.50 |
| 06-27 17:35 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5499999027 | $1.13 |
| 06-23 09:01 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.10 |
| 06-20 17:19 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.3299999284 | $2.72 |
| 05-18 18:14 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5899998801 | $1.82 |
| 05-06 14:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.08 |
| 05-05 10:38 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.6469998875 | $1.38 |
| 03-15 16:46 | Jazz vs. Kings | BUY | 0.4099999174 | $2.63 |
| 03-06 08:37 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5989998682 | $1.20 |
| 03-04 10:11 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.10 |
| 03-03 12:17 | Hawks vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.5299999494 | $1.78 |