0x6861fe63D4748104932530fFC5D64d55aBebB317-1773274561232
0x6861fe63d4748104932530ffc5d64d55abebb317
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $411.5k
- Markets traded
- 463
- Open portfolio
- $425.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded463
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.587Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$1.1kat 0.864Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
- +$911.76at 0.676Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
- +$853.80at 0.854Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
- +$709.53at 0.458Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:34 | Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.6199999414 | $1.48 |
| 10-12 20:33 | Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.6170972424 | $425.18 |
| 10-12 20:30 | Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-12? | SELL | 0.9 | $436.23 |
| 10-12 19:17 | Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.8499999929 | $12.00 |
| 10-12 19:16 | Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $400.00 |
| 10-12 18:40 | Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-12? | SELL | 0.985 | $416.19 |
| 10-12 18:11 | Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.7099999998 | $300.00 |
| 10-12 18:09 | Will Al Wasl FC vs. Al Ahli Saudi FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $304.81 |
| 10-12 15:23 | Will Al Wasl FC vs. Al Ahli Saudi FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7767226887 | $237.00 |
| 10-12 15:21 | Will Al Qadsiah win on 2026-10-12? | SELL | 0.7762223505 | $242.13 |
| 10-11 21:20 | Will Al Qadsiah win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.669999999 | $209.00 |
| 10-11 19:09 | Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.999 | $207.58 |
| 10-11 17:57 | Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $160.00 |
| 10-11 17:26 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.999 | $567.04 |
| 10-11 17:15 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.8199999998 | $465.44 |