0x685f783a7ce9af1568637b3f7de1bddd32971c1b
0x685f783a7ce9af1568637b3f7de1bddd32971c1b
- Realised P&L
- $-28.65
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $1.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.75at 0.197Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 1?
- +$21.71at 0.261Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 5?
- +$19.26at 0.332Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on September 4?
- +$15.46at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?
- +$11.16at 0.261Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.6199998999 | $1.61 |
| 10-05 21:41 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.435 | $0.94 |
| 10-05 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.0108304312 | $0.26 |
| 10-04 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $7.00 |
| 10-04 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.0717098446 | $1.73 |
| 09-29 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 20:14 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Croatia? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.27 |
| 09-29 20:12 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Croatia? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.97 |
| 09-29 20:03 | Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 England? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.10 |
| 09-29 20:02 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Croatia? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:04 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Croatia? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.81 |
| 09-29 19:04 | Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 England? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.19 |
| 09-29 18:57 | Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 England? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.75 |
| 09-29 18:09 | Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 England? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |