0xbC3f91731a696E1A5E051496018EEB8782243e71-1770292441437
0x685ee95b5069bf08a44b9df9dd096ee539aa165c
- Realised P&L
- $-352.96
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $177.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No | 0.796 | 0.982 | $61.69 | +$11.69 |
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.070 | $59.24 | −$80.75 |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No | 0.703 | 0.791 | $56.26 | +$6.26 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.49at 0.165Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.06at 0.689Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$-19.09at 0.728Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
- +$-48.06at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-431.58at 0.304Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:43 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:43 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 10:34 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 08-26 10:34 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 01:06 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.1092715169 | $15.00 |
| 08-14 15:26 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 03:52 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7029702942 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 21:21 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3069999872 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2225624441 | $27.39 |
| 07-15 18:21 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.3571428571 | $25.00 |
| 07-13 20:51 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.2382286461 | $25.00 |
| 07-12 22:00 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.2686567082 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 03:46 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.1613924014 | $30.00 |
| 07-07 17:48 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1389999723 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 17:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0574012497 | $5.00 |