PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbC3f91731a696E1A5E051496018EEB8782243e71-1770292441437

0x685ee95b5069bf08a44b9df9dd096ee539aa165c

Realised P&L
$-352.96
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$177.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.7960.982$61.69+$11.69
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · Yes0.1650.070$59.24$80.75
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.7030.791$56.26+$6.26
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3070.000$0.00$10.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:43Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
09-16 20:43Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
08-26 10:34Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.8$30.00
08-26 10:34Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
08-21 01:06Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.1092715169$15.00
08-14 15:26Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.209999974$5.00
08-11 03:52Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.7029702942$50.00
07-19 21:21Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3069999872$10.00
07-19 21:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2225624441$27.39
07-15 18:21Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.3571428571$25.00
07-13 20:51Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.2382286461$25.00
07-12 22:00Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.2686567082$20.00
07-12 03:46Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.1613924014$30.00
07-07 17:48Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1389999723$5.00
07-07 17:44Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0574012497$5.00