0xbC3f91731a696E1A5E051496018EEB8782243e71-1770292441437
0x685ee95b5069bf08a44b9df9dd096ee539aa165c
- Realised P&L
- $-309.82
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $33.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.039 | $33.01 | −$106.99 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.49at 0.165Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.83at 0.711Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?
- +$11.09at 0.802Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?
- +$-1.06at 0.689Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$-19.09at 0.728Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 03:47 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.977 | $69.48 |
| 10-05 03:46 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.9797954147 | $61.54 |
| 09-16 20:43 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 20:43 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 10:34 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 08-26 10:34 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 01:06 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.1092715169 | $15.00 |
| 08-14 15:26 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 03:52 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7029702942 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 21:21 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3069999872 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2225624441 | $27.39 |
| 07-15 18:21 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.3571428571 | $25.00 |
| 07-13 20:51 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.2382286461 | $25.00 |
| 07-12 22:00 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.2686567082 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 03:46 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.1613924014 | $30.00 |