66dashun
0x685b987a54d4a42db5c918acf502652b7d8683bb
- Realised P&L
- $-339.57
- Volume
- $25.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $154.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.129 | $144.48 | −$4.48 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.967 | $9.66 | +$0.67 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.26 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.55 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.80 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.00at 0.840Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$19.24at 0.850Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$7.78at 0.993Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$1.65at 0.959Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
- +$1.44at 0.986Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 10:07 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 07-13 16:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 07-12 03:11 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 07-11 17:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2525 | $1.26 |
| 07-07 16:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 07-06 14:49 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 07-01 17:06 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-29 13:53 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 06-28 16:44 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 06-20 16:15 | Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 05-31 03:20 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 05-31 03:18 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 05-31 03:17 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 05-31 03:17 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | BUY | 0.967 | $4.83 |
| 05-31 03:16 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |