PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

66dashun

0x685b987a54d4a42db5c918acf502652b7d8683bb

Realised P&L
$-339.57
Volume
$25.8k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$154.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1330.129$144.48$4.48
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.9000.967$9.66+$0.67
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2530.000$0.00$1.26
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No0.7100.000$0.00$3.55
Will England win on 2026-07-18? · No0.7600.000$0.00$3.80
Will England win on 2026-07-01? · No0.5900.000$0.00$2.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 10:07Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.76$3.80
07-13 16:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.997$4.99
07-12 03:11Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.71$3.55
07-11 17:26Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2525$1.26
07-07 16:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.991$4.96
07-06 14:49Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.78$3.90
07-01 17:06Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.59$2.95
06-29 13:53Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.74$3.70
06-28 16:44Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.84$4.20
06-20 16:15Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.87$4.35
05-31 03:20Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?BUY0.96$4.80
05-31 03:18Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?BUY0.998$4.99
05-31 03:17Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?BUY0.997$4.99
05-31 03:17Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?BUY0.967$4.83
05-31 03:16Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.995$4.97