bkr8
0x685922ec63db10fd64d0498a709338e0dc387e81
- Realised P&L
- $-382.85
- Volume
- $49.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,428
- Open portfolio
- $0.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,428
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.002 | $0.07 | −$0.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 7? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 7? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 8? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.61at 0.494Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
- +$55.60at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$46.95at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$46.74at 0.612Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$45.45at 0.258Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.02 |
| 09-07 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.43 | $6.45 |
| 09-07 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 09-07 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.3085737193 | $4.63 |
| 09-07 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.0780418588 | $4.62 |
| 09-07 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.6949806938 | $41.15 |
| 09-07 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.0189155388 | $1.12 |
| 08-27 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7929442736 | $25.11 |
| 08-27 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $24.75 |
| 08-26 18:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999949 | $24.80 |
| 08-26 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999993 | $24.82 |
| 08-26 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999973 | $24.65 |
| 08-16 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999914 | $15.04 |
| 08-16 00:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999924 | $15.12 |
| 08-16 00:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3588778878 | $8.70 |