JerryRalph1
0x68519a4ce1453f786de3ff30e24daea12061dbc9
- Realised P&L
- $6.07
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $0.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.185 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Argentina to score first vs. Egypt? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.768 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Brazil to score first vs. Norway? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.20at 0.401Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.44at 0.447Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$17.45at 0.898Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$9.09at 0.551Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$8.85at 0.494Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 23:32 | Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9089999539 | $1.50 |
| 07-19 21:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Spain to score first vs. Argentina? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.03 |
| 07-19 20:11 | Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:53 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6074999544 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:40 | Spain to score first vs. Argentina? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:06 | Will "Vogue" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 14:07 | Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-17 11:53 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 11:53 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.649999935 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 20:58 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.035 | $0.12 |
| 07-15 20:45 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.079 | $4.25 |
| 07-14 20:42 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |