struggle2
0x684c5cb6719a14b71675d4d1be6084ae5c177f5b
- Realised P&L
- $309.36
- Volume
- $166.7k
- Markets traded
- 923
- Open portfolio
- $16.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded923
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.220 | $3.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.399 | 0.380 | $3.01 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.080 | $2.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.265 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 26? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.60 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.005 | $1.16 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.030 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.035 | $0.73 | −$0.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.035 | $0.73 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.31at 0.819Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 23?
- +$143.76at 0.869Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?
- +$93.62at 0.905Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 28?
- +$83.42at 0.815Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 6?
- +$66.49at 0.834Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 20:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 15°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.619130586 | $71.21 |
| 09-26 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.05 |
| 09-26 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.05 |
| 09-26 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.79 |
| 09-26 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.39 | $0.37 |
| 09-26 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 18:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.05 |
| 09-26 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 18:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.0388078237 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1064516098 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.94 |
| 09-26 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $22.38 |
| 09-26 09:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-26 09:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-26 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9676608871 | $90.97 |