PolyBot

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Traders

struggle2

0x684c5cb6719a14b71675d4d1be6084ae5c177f5b

Realised P&L
$309.36
Volume
$166.7k
Markets traded
923
Open portfolio
$16.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded923
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 20:21Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 15°C on September 26?BUY0.619130586$71.21
09-26 18:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 27?BUY0.05$1.05
09-26 18:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 27?BUY0.005$1.05
09-26 18:26Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 27?BUY0.4$2.79
09-26 18:26Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 27?BUY0.39$0.37
09-26 18:25Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 27?BUY0.18$3.00
09-26 18:24Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.05$1.05
09-26 18:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.25$2.00
09-26 18:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.0388078237$1.00
09-26 18:07Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.1064516098$3.00
09-26 16:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 26?BUY0.99$32.94
09-26 13:28Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27?BUY0.99$22.38
09-26 09:57Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on September 26?SELL0.999$14.98
09-26 09:55Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on September 26?BUY0.99$9.90
09-26 08:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 26?BUY0.9676608871$90.97